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CBSE Class 10 · Chapter 14 · Statistics and Probability · 2026-27

Probability Class 10: MCQ and case study questions

15 multiple-choice questions and 2 case-based questions on the current (rationalised) syllabus, in the style of the board paper's Sections A and E. Try each one first; the answer, a one-line reason and a worked solution open on a tap.

  • 15 MCQs (1 mark each)
  • 2 case studies (4 marks each)
  • No calculator needed
  • Free, no sign-in

Multiple-choice questions

Choose one option. Section A of the board paper has 18 MCQs of 1 mark each, spread over all chapters.

Q1

·1 mark·Multiple choiceCoins and dice

A die is thrown once. The probability that the number shown is a perfect square is

  1. (a)\(\dfrac12\)
  2. (b)\(\dfrac13\)
  3. (c)\(\dfrac16\)
  4. (d)\(\dfrac34\)
Show answer
Answer: (b) \(\dfrac13\)

Why: The perfect squares on a die are 1 and 4: 2 of 6 outcomes.

Favourable outcomes \(1\) and \(4\): \(P = \dfrac26 = \dfrac13\). (Remember that \(1 = 1^2\) is a perfect square.)

Q2

·1 mark·Multiple choiceClassical probability

A bag has \(5\) red, \(3\) blue and \(2\) green balls. One ball is drawn at random. The probability that it is not red is

  1. (a)\(\dfrac{3}{10}\)
  2. (b)\(\dfrac12\)
  3. (c)\(\dfrac15\)
  4. (d)\(\dfrac{7}{10}\)
Show answer
Answer: (b) \(\dfrac12\)

Why: Not red means blue or green: 5 of 10 balls.

\(P(\text{not red}) = \dfrac{3 + 2}{10} = \dfrac12\) (or \(1 - \dfrac{5}{10}\)).

Q3

·1 mark·Multiple choiceComplementary events

For an event \(E\), \(P(E)\) is twice \(P(\text{not } E)\). Then \(P(E)\) is

  1. (a)\(\dfrac13\)
  2. (b)\(\dfrac12\)
  3. (c)\(\dfrac23\)
  4. (d)\(\dfrac34\)
Show answer
Answer: (c) \(\dfrac23\)

Why: P(E) = 2(1 − P(E)) gives 3P(E) = 2.

\(P(\text{not } E) = 1 - P(E)\), so \(P(E) = 2(1 - P(E)) \Rightarrow 3P(E) = 2 \Rightarrow P(E) = \dfrac23\).

Q4

·1 mark·Multiple choiceClassical probability

Only one of these numbers is a possible value for the probability of an event. Which one?

  1. (a)\(-0.2\)
  2. (b)\(1.05\)
  3. (c)\(\dfrac76\)
  4. (d)\(\dfrac37\)
Show answer
Answer: (d) \(\dfrac37\)

Why: A probability must lie between 0 and 1 inclusive.

\(0 \le P(E) \le 1\). \(-0.2 \lt 0\), while \(1.05\) and \(\dfrac76\) exceed \(1\); only \(\dfrac37\) is possible.

Q5

·1 mark·Multiple choiceCoins and dice

Three coins are tossed together. The probability of getting exactly two heads is

  1. (a)\(\dfrac18\)
  2. (b)\(\dfrac38\)
  3. (c)\(\dfrac12\)
  4. (d)\(\dfrac34\)
Show answer
Answer: (b) \(\dfrac38\)

Why: Exactly two heads: HHT, HTH, THH — 3 of 8 outcomes.

The \(8\) outcomes are equally likely; \(HHT, HTH, THH\) have exactly two heads. \(P = \dfrac38\).

Q6

·1 mark·Multiple choicePlaying cards

A card is drawn at random from a well-shuffled pack of \(52\) cards. The probability that it is a king or a queen is

  1. (a)\(\dfrac{2}{13}\)
  2. (b)\(\dfrac{1}{13}\)
  3. (c)\(\dfrac{1}{26}\)
  4. (d)\(\dfrac{4}{13}\)
Show answer
Answer: (a) \(\dfrac{2}{13}\)

Why: 4 kings + 4 queens = 8 favourable cards.

\(P = \dfrac{4 + 4}{52} = \dfrac{8}{52} = \dfrac{2}{13}\).

Q7

·1 mark·Multiple choiceCoins and dice

Two dice are thrown together. The probability of getting the same number on both dice is

  1. (a)\(\dfrac{1}{36}\)
  2. (b)\(\dfrac{1}{12}\)
  3. (c)\(\dfrac16\)
  4. (d)\(\dfrac13\)
Show answer
Answer: (c) \(\dfrac16\)

Why: There are 6 doublets among 36 outcomes.

Doublets \((1,1), (2,2), \ldots, (6,6)\): \(6\) of \(36\) outcomes, so \(P = \dfrac{6}{36} = \dfrac16\).

Q8

·1 mark·Multiple choiceClassical probability

A number is chosen at random from \(1\) to \(60\). The probability that it is a perfect square is

  1. (a)\(\dfrac{1}{10}\)
  2. (b)\(\dfrac{2}{15}\)
  3. (c)\(\dfrac16\)
  4. (d)\(\dfrac{7}{60}\)
Show answer
Answer: (d) \(\dfrac{7}{60}\)

Why: The squares are 1, 4, 9, 16, 25, 36, 49.

Perfect squares up to \(60\): \(1, 4, 9, 16, 25, 36, 49\) (seven; \(64 \gt 60\)). \(P = \dfrac{7}{60}\).

Q9

·1 mark·Multiple choiceClassical probability

Twenty discs numbered \(1\) to \(20\) are put in a box and one is drawn at random. The probability that its number is a multiple of \(3\) or of \(5\) is

  1. (a)\(\dfrac{9}{20}\)
  2. (b)\(\dfrac12\)
  3. (c)\(\dfrac25\)
  4. (d)\(\dfrac{11}{20}\)
Show answer
Answer: (a) \(\dfrac{9}{20}\)

Why: Multiples of 3: 6; of 5: 4; 15 is counted twice, so 9.

Multiples of \(3\): \(3, 6, 9, 12, 15, 18\); of \(5\): \(5, 10, 15, 20\). Together (counting \(15\) once) there are \(9\). \(P = \dfrac{9}{20}\).

Q10

·1 mark·Multiple choiceClassical probability

A bag contains \(x\) red balls and \(12\) blue balls. If the probability of drawing a red ball is \(\dfrac14\), then \(x\) is

  1. (a)\(3\)
  2. (b)\(4\)
  3. (c)\(6\)
  4. (d)\(8\)
Show answer
Answer: (b) \(4\)

Why: x/(x + 12) = 1/4 gives 4x = x + 12.

\(\dfrac{x}{x + 12} = \dfrac14 \Rightarrow 4x = x + 12 \Rightarrow x = 4\).

Q11

·1 mark·Multiple choiceClassical probability

A letter is chosen at random from the letters of the word MATHEMATICS. The probability that it is M is

  1. (a)\(\dfrac{1}{11}\)
  2. (b)\(\dfrac{3}{11}\)
  3. (c)\(\dfrac{2}{11}\)
  4. (d)\(\dfrac29\)
Show answer
Answer: (c) \(\dfrac{2}{11}\)

Why: The word has 11 letters and M appears twice.

MATHEMATICS has \(11\) letters, of which \(2\) are M. \(P = \dfrac{2}{11}\).

Q12

·1 mark·Multiple choiceCoins and dice

Two dice are thrown together. What is the probability that the total shown is a multiple of \(5\)?

  1. (a)\(\dfrac{7}{36}\)
  2. (b)\(\dfrac{1}{12}\)
  3. (c)\(\dfrac16\)
  4. (d)\(\dfrac{5}{36}\)
Show answer
Answer: (a) \(\dfrac{7}{36}\)

Why: Total 5 in 4 ways and total 10 in 3 ways: 7 of 36.

Total \(5\): \((1,4), (2,3), (3,2), (4,1)\); total \(10\): \((4,6), (5,5), (6,4)\). \(P = \dfrac{7}{36}\).

Q13

·1 mark·Multiple choiceCoins and dice

Two dice are thrown together. The probability that the product of the numbers is \(6\) is

  1. (a)\(\dfrac16\)
  2. (b)\(\dfrac19\)
  3. (c)\(\dfrac{1}{12}\)
  4. (d)\(\dfrac29\)
Show answer
Answer: (b) \(\dfrac19\)

Why: Product 6 from (1,6), (6,1), (2,3), (3,2): 4 of 36.

Favourable: \((1,6), (6,1), (2,3), (3,2)\). \(P = \dfrac{4}{36} = \dfrac19\).

Q14

·1 mark·Multiple choiceCoins and dice

Three coins are tossed together. The probability of getting at most one head is

  1. (a)\(\dfrac38\)
  2. (b)\(\dfrac18\)
  3. (c)\(\dfrac78\)
  4. (d)\(\dfrac12\)
Show answer
Answer: (d) \(\dfrac12\)

Why: At most one head: TTT, HTT, THT, TTH — 4 of 8 outcomes.

The \(8\) outcomes are equally likely. No head: \(TTT\); one head: \(HTT, THT, TTH\). \(P = \dfrac48 = \dfrac12\).

Q15

·1 mark·Multiple choicePlaying cards

One card is drawn at random from a well-shuffled pack of \(52\) playing cards. The probability that it is either a black ace or a red king is

  1. (a)\(\dfrac{1}{13}\)
  2. (b)\(\dfrac{1}{26}\)
  3. (c)\(\dfrac{2}{13}\)
  4. (d)\(\dfrac{1}{52}\)
Show answer
Answer: (a) \(\dfrac{1}{13}\)

Why: 2 black aces + 2 red kings = 4 cards.

Black aces: spades and clubs (\(2\)); red kings: hearts and diamonds (\(2\)). \(P = \dfrac{4}{52} = \dfrac{1}{13}\).

Case study questions

Section E of the board paper has three case-based questions of 4 marks: a real-life passage, then parts of 1, 1 and 2 marks, with a choice (OR) on the 2-mark part.

Case study 1: Spin wheel at the school fete (4 marks)

At a school fete, a game stall has a spinning wheel divided into \(12\) equal sectors numbered \(1\) to \(12\). A player spins the wheel once, and it is equally likely to stop at any sector.

(i) Find the probability that the wheel stops at an even number. [1 mark]
Show answer
Answer: \(\dfrac12\)
Even numbers: \(2, 4, 6, 8, 10, 12\); \(P = \dfrac{6}{12} = \dfrac12\). A1
(ii) Find the probability that it stops at a prime number. [1 mark]
Show answer
Answer: \(\dfrac{5}{12}\)
Primes: \(2, 3, 5, 7, 11\); \(P = \dfrac{5}{12}\). A1
(iii) A player wins a prize if the number is greater than \(8\) or is a multiple of \(4\). Find the probability of winning a prize. [2 marks]
Show answer
Answer: \(\dfrac12\)
Winning numbers: \(4, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12\) (\(12\) counted once) M1; \(P = \dfrac{6}{12} = \dfrac12\). A1
OR Find the probability that the number is a perfect square or a factor of \(12\). [2 marks]
Show answer
Answer: \(\dfrac{7}{12}\)
Perfect squares \(1, 4, 9\); factors of \(12\): \(1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 12\). Together: \(1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 9, 12\) M1; \(P = \dfrac{7}{12}\). A1

Case study 2: Class monitor by lottery (4 marks)

A class of \(40\) students chooses one student at random to be the monitor for a week. The class has \(18\) girls, \(6\) of whom wear glasses; \(10\) of the boys also wear glasses.

(i) Find the probability that the student chosen is a girl. [1 mark]
Show answer
Answer: \(\dfrac{9}{20}\)
\(P = \dfrac{18}{40} = \dfrac{9}{20}\). A1
(ii) Find the probability that the student chosen wears glasses. [1 mark]
Show answer
Answer: \(\dfrac25\)
\(6 + 10 = 16\) wear glasses; \(P = \dfrac{16}{40} = \dfrac25\). A1
(iii) Find the probability that the student chosen is a boy who does not wear glasses. [2 marks]
Show answer
Answer: \(\dfrac{3}{10}\)
Boys \(= 40 - 18 = 22\); without glasses \(= 22 - 10 = 12\) M1; \(P = \dfrac{12}{40} = \dfrac{3}{10}\). A1
OR Four new girls, none of whom wear glasses, join the class before the draw. Find the new probability that the student chosen is a girl. [2 marks]
Show answer
Answer: \(\dfrac12\)
Girls \(= 22\), class \(= 44\) M1; \(P = \dfrac{22}{44} = \dfrac12\). A1

Next steps for Probability

This free set is separate from the chapter's question bank. On the Probability chapter page the revision notes and the first step of the Route to 95 are free for everyone. CBSE Essentials adds all 37 questions in the chapter bank (short and long answers, assertion–reason and more case studies) with their full step-marking schemes, the Route to 95 checkpoints with your progress saved, Skill Builders and the full common-mistakes library. There is no AI marking on CBSE Math Revision: you check your work against the marking scheme.

Original questions written by CBSE Math Revision for the CBSE 2026-27 syllabus; not taken from NCERT, NCERT Exemplar or CBSE papers. Every answer was re-checked by computer algebra and by an independent reviewer. CBSE Math Revision is independent and not affiliated with CBSE or NCERT. Spotted a slip? Tell us and it goes in the corrections log.