Olympiad-style probability problems (ages 15 to 18)
10 original competition-style problems: dice, cards, areas and expected values. Try each one before opening the hints; the second hint gives more away, and the full solution explains why the method works and where the idea leads.
Every question is free to read. The hints, answer checking and full solutions are included with every A Level, IB, IGCSE and CBSE plan. See plans.
For teachers: project, add to a worksheet or set as homework
Press Project on any problem to show it full screen with a timer, the hints, the answer and the worked solution one step at a time (arrow keys move between problems; Space reveals the next step; F full screen; Esc closes). Switch on the ‘Add to worksheet’ buttons, pick problems, then print them from the worksheet builder or set them as homework for a class, with the full solutions as the mark scheme. Free problems are free for every class; problems marked ‘With a plan’ can be set by teachers with a plan or school licence. Ready-made sessions: maths club packs.
The numbers 1 to 10 are arranged in a random order. A number is a record if it is larger than every number before it (the first number is always a record). What is the expected number of records? (Give an exact fraction.)
Hints, answer check and full worked solution. Included with every A Level, IB, IGCSE and CBSE plan.
Five cards are dealt from a well-shuffled standard pack of 52 (four suits of 13). What is the probability that all four suits appear among the five cards?
Hints, answer check and full worked solution. Included with every A Level, IB, IGCSE and CBSE plan.
An ant starts at a corner of a cube and walks along the edges. At each corner it picks one of the three edges at random. What is the expected number of edges it walks before first reaching the opposite corner?
Hints, answer check and full worked solution. Included with every A Level, IB, IGCSE and CBSE plan.
An urn starts with 1 red and 1 blue ball. Ten times, a ball is drawn at random and put back together with another ball of the same colour. What is the probability that exactly 5 of the 10 added balls are red?
Hints, answer check and full worked solution. Included with every A Level, IB, IGCSE and CBSE plan.
Ten balls are dropped independently into ten boxes, each ball equally likely to land in any box. What is the expected number of empty boxes? (Give an exact fraction.)
Hints, answer check and full worked solution. Included with every A Level, IB, IGCSE and CBSE plan.
Three job candidates, of different quality, are interviewed one at a time in a random order. After each interview you must hire or reject at once. Your strategy: reject the first candidate, then hire the first later candidate who is better than the first; if none is, hire the last. What is the probability that you hire the best candidate?
Hints, answer check and full worked solution. Included with every A Level, IB, IGCSE and CBSE plan.